Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000658 0.000747 0.000842 0.000949 0.001066 0.001191 0.001334
2025-11-23 0.000501 0.000622 0.000758 0.000922 0.001114 0.001330 0.001590
2025-11-30 0.000424 0.000559 0.000718 0.000919 0.001162 0.001445 0.001798
2025-12-07 0.000367 0.000510 0.000687 0.000918 0.001207 0.001553 0.001996
2025-12-14 0.000318 0.000466 0.000654 0.000907 0.001234 0.001636 0.002162
2025-12-21 0.000277 0.000425 0.000621 0.000892 0.001252 0.001705 0.002309
2025-12-28 0.000257 0.000410 0.000619 0.000917 0.001319 0.001836 0.002537
2026-01-04 0.000236 0.000392 0.000611 0.000931 0.001372 0.001948 0.002742
2026-01-11 0.000211 0.000366 0.000589 0.000923 0.001394 0.002019 0.002894
2026-01-18 0.000189 0.000341 0.000567 0.000912 0.001409 0.002080 0.003034
2026-01-25 0.000174 0.000326 0.000558 0.000920 0.001451 0.002178 0.003224
2026-02-01 0.000160 0.000310 0.000546 0.000922 0.001482 0.002261 0.003395
2026-02-08 0.000139 0.000283 0.000514 0.000893 0.001468 0.002281 0.003480
2026-02-15 0.000122 0.000260 0.000488 0.000870 0.001461 0.002310 0.003580
2026-02-22 0.000111 0.000245 0.000475 0.000866 0.001482 0.002379 0.003734
2026-03-01 0.000101 0.000233 0.000464 0.000865 0.001507 0.002453 0.003899
2026-03-08 0.000091 0.000219 0.000448 0.000855 0.001517 0.002505 0.004031
2026-03-15 0.000082 0.000204 0.000430 0.000841 0.001520 0.002546 0.004147
2026-03-22 0.000078 0.000202 0.000435 0.000864 0.001582 0.002676 0.004398
2026-03-29 0.000074 0.000197 0.000434 0.000877 0.001628 0.002785 0.004618
2026-04-05 0.000067 0.000186 0.000421 0.000870 0.001641 0.002840 0.004760
2026-04-12 0.000060 0.000175 0.000408 0.000859 0.001647 0.002887 0.004888
2026-04-19 0.000057 0.000170 0.000405 0.000867 0.001685 0.002982 0.005092